| 紀錄類型: |
書目-電子資源
: Monograph/item
|
| 杜威分類號: |
330.01/12 |
| 書名/作者: |
Forecasting : an essential introduction // Jennifer L. Castle, Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry. |
| 作者: |
Castle, Jennifer, |
| 其他作者: |
Clements, Michael P. |
| 出版者: |
New Haven ; : Yale University Press,, c2019. |
| 面頁冊數: |
1 online resource (xiv, 213 p.) : : ill. |
| 標題: |
Economic forecasting. |
| ISBN: |
9780300248241 |
| 書目註: |
Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| 內容註: |
Why do we need forecasts? -- How do we make forecasts? -- Where are we before we forecast? -- How do we judge forecasts? -- How uncertain are our forecasts? -- Are some real world events unpredictable? -- Why do systematic forecast failures occur? -- Can we avoid systematic forecast failures? -- How do we automatically detect breaks? -- Can we forecast breaks before they hit? -- Can we improve forecasts during breaks? -- Would more information be useful? -- Can econometrics improve forecasting? -- Can you trust economic forecasts? |
| 摘要、提要註: |
Making accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. This introduction provides an accessible overview of the processes and difficulties of forecasting. For students, for practitioners new to the field, and for general readers interested in how economists forecast. |
| 電子資源: |
https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9780300248241 |