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Info-gap economics[electronic resource] :an operational introduction /

紀錄類型:	書目-語言資料,印刷品 : Monograph/item
杜威分類號:	330.01/1
書名/作者:	Info-gap economics : an operational introduction // Yakov Ben-Haim.
作者:	Ben-Haim, Yakov,
出版者:	Basingstoke [England] ; : Palgrave Macmillan,, 2010.
面頁冊數:	xiv, 245 p. : : ill.
標題:	Decision making.
標題:	Uncertainty.
標題:	Economic forecasting.
標題:	Economics.
ISBN:	9780230277328
ISBN:	0230277322
書目註:	Includes bibliographical references and indexes.
內容註:	PART I: GETTING STARTED -- Info-Gap Theory in Plain English -- A First Look: Stylized Example-- PART II: ECONOMIC DECISIONS -- Monetary Policy -- Financial Stability -- Topics in Public Policy-- Estimation and Forecasting -- PART III: WRAPPING UP -- The Art of Uncertainty Modelling -- Positivism, F-twist, and Robust-Satisficing -- References -- Author Index -- Subject Index.
摘要、提要註:	After every crisis economists and policy analysts ask: can better models help prevent or ameliorate such situations? This book provides an answer. Yes, quantitative models can help if we remember that they are rough approximations to a vastly more complex reality. Models can help if we include realistic but simple representations of uncertainty amongour models, and if we retain the pre-eminence of human judgment over the churning of our computers. Info-gap theory is a new method for modeling and managing severe uncertainty. The core of the book presents detailed examples of info-gap analysis of decisions in monetary policy, financial economics, environmental economics for pollution control and climate change, estimation and forecasting. This book is essential readingfor economic policy analysts and researchers.
電子資源:	access to fulltext (Palgrave)

Info-gap economics[electronic resource] :an operational introduction /
Ben-Haim, Yakov,1952-

Info-gap economicsan operational introduction /[electronic resource] :Yakov Ben-Haim. - Basingstoke [England] ;Palgrave Macmillan,2010. - xiv, 245 p. :ill.

Includes bibliographical references and indexes.

PART I: GETTING STARTED -- Info-Gap Theory in Plain English -- A First Look: Stylized Example-- PART II: ECONOMIC DECISIONS -- Monetary Policy -- Financial Stability -- Topics in Public Policy-- Estimation and Forecasting -- PART III: WRAPPING UP -- The Art of Uncertainty Modelling -- Positivism, F-twist, and Robust-Satisficing -- References -- Author Index -- Subject Index.

After every crisis economists and policy analysts ask: can better models help prevent or ameliorate such situations? This book provides an answer. Yes, quantitative models can help if we remember that they are rough approximations to a vastly more complex reality. Models can help if we include realistic but simple representations of uncertainty amongour models, and if we retain the pre-eminence of human judgment over the churning of our computers. Info-gap theory is a new method for modeling and managing severe uncertainty. The core of the book presents detailed examples of info-gap analysis of decisions in monetary policy, financial economics, environmental economics for pollution control and climate change, estimation and forecasting. This book is essential readingfor economic policy analysts and researchers.

Electronic reproduction.
Basingstoke, England :
Palgrave Macmillan,
2010.

Mode of access:World Wide Web.

ISBN: 9780230277328Subjects--Topical Terms:

337308
Decision making.
Index Terms--Genre/Form:

336502
Electronic books.

LC Class. No.: QA279.4 / .B4527 2010

Dewey Class. No.: 330.01/1

National Agricultural Library Call No.: QA279.4 / .B4527 2010

Info-gap economics[electronic resource] :an operational introduction /
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