Foresight for science, technology an...
Miles, Ian.

 

  • Foresight for science, technology and innovation[electronic resource] /
  • 紀錄類型: 書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
    杜威分類號: 601.12
    書名/作者: Foresight for science, technology and innovation/ by Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov.
    作者: Miles, Ian.
    其他作者: Saritas, Ozcan.
    出版者: Cham : : Springer International Publishing :, 2016.
    面頁冊數: xiii, 270 p. : : ill., digital ;; 24 cm.
    Contained By: Springer eBooks
    標題: Technological forecasting.
    標題: Economics.
    標題: R & D/Technology Policy.
    標題: Innovation/Technology Management.
    標題: Public Administration.
    標題: Operation Research/Decision Theory.
    ISBN: 9783319325743
    ISBN: 9783319325729
    內容註: 1 Introduction -- 2 Foresight for STI - What and Why -- 3 Initiation-Scoping and Managing ForSTI -- 4 Interaction - Participation and Recruitment -- 5 Intelligence - Environmental and Horizon Scanning -- 6 Intelligence - Delphi -- 7 Imagination - Scenarios and Alternative Futures -- 8 Integration - Modelling -- 9 From Integration to Interpretation - Translating ForSTI into Strategies -- 10 Intervention and Impact - Outcomes, Action and Evaluation -- 11 Conclusion.
    摘要、提要註: Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond "narrow" technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases.
    電子資源: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32574-3
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