大葉大學圖書館 |

Natural disasters, when will they reach me?[electronic resource] /

紀錄類型:	書目-語言資料,印刷品 : Monograph/item
杜威分類號:	363.340727
書名/作者:	Natural disasters, when will they reach me?/ by Isuri Wijesundera ... [et al.].
其他作者:	Wijesundera, Isuri.
出版者:	Singapore : : Springer Singapore :, 2016.
面頁冊數:	xviii, 128 p. : : ill. (some col.), digital ;; 24 cm.
Contained By:	Springer eBooks
標題:	Natural disasters - Statistical methods.
標題:	Natural disasters - Forecasting.
標題:	Earth Sciences.
標題:	Natural Hazards.
標題:	Simulation and Modeling.
標題:	Environmental Monitoring/Analysis.
標題:	Information Systems and Communication Service.
標題:	Math. Appl. in Environmental Science.
ISBN:	9789811011139
ISBN:	9789811011115
內容註:	The stochastic nature of disaster propagation -- Predicting Flood induced by cyclones -- How to forecast the spread of bushfires -- Propagation on a non-homogeneous media in the presence of bias -- Conclusion.
摘要、提要註:	The expected time of impact, also known as the mean first passage time (MFPT) to reach failure, is a critical metric in the management of natural disasters. The complexity of the dynamics governing natural disasters lead to stochastic behaviour. This book shows that state transitions of many such systems translate into random walks on their respective state spaces, biased and shaped by environmental inhomogeneity. Thus the probabilistic treatment of those random walks gives valuable insights of expected behaviour. A comprehensive case study of predicting cyclone induced flood is followed by a discussion of generic methods that predict MFPT addressing directional bias. This is followed by discussing MFPT prediction methods in systems showing network inhomogeneity. All presented methods are illustrated using real datasets of natural disasters. The book ends with a short discussion of possible future research areas introducing the problem of predicting MFPT for bush-fire propagation.
電子資源:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-1113-9

Natural disasters, when will they reach me?[electronic resource] /
Natural disasters, when will they reach me?[electronic resource] /by Isuri Wijesundera ... [et al.]. - Singapore :Springer Singapore :2016. - xviii, 128 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm. - Springer natural hazards,2365-0656. - Springer natural hazards..

The stochastic nature of disaster propagation -- Predicting Flood induced by cyclones -- How to forecast the spread of bushfires -- Propagation on a non-homogeneous media in the presence of bias -- Conclusion.

The expected time of impact, also known as the mean first passage time (MFPT) to reach failure, is a critical metric in the management of natural disasters. The complexity of the dynamics governing natural disasters lead to stochastic behaviour. This book shows that state transitions of many such systems translate into random walks on their respective state spaces, biased and shaped by environmental inhomogeneity. Thus the probabilistic treatment of those random walks gives valuable insights of expected behaviour. A comprehensive case study of predicting cyclone induced flood is followed by a discussion of generic methods that predict MFPT addressing directional bias. This is followed by discussing MFPT prediction methods in systems showing network inhomogeneity. All presented methods are illustrated using real datasets of natural disasters. The book ends with a short discussion of possible future research areas introducing the problem of predicting MFPT for bush-fire propagation.

ISBN: 9789811011139

Standard No.: 10.1007/978-981-10-1113-9doiSubjects--Topical Terms:

611074
Natural disasters
--Statistical methods.

LC Class. No.: GB5014

Dewey Class. No.: 363.340727

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