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Understanding uncertainty[electronic...

Lindley, Dennis V.

Understanding uncertainty[electronic resource] /

紀錄類型:	書目-語言資料,印刷品 : Monograph/item
杜威分類號:	519.2
書名/作者:	Understanding uncertainty/ Dennis V. Lindley.
作者:	Lindley, Dennis V.
出版者:	Hoboken, N.J. : : Wiley,, 2014.
面頁冊數:	1 online resource.
標題:	Mathematics.
ISBN:	9781118650233 (electronic bk.)
ISBN:	1118650239 (electronic bk.)
ISBN:	9781118650158 (electronic bk.)
ISBN:	1118650158 (electronic bk.)
ISBN:	9781118650110 (electronic bk.)
ISBN:	1118650115 (electronic bk.)
摘要、提要註:	"We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."--Dennis Lindley Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. Completely reformatted and visually easy to read, this revised edition includes new material on the computational influence and breakthroughs of hierarchical Bayesian methods and inference; betting (Efron's dice); and the current recession; as well as additional illustrations, updated references, and simplified writing for clarity, ease of continuity and research.
電子資源:	http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118650158

Understanding uncertainty[electronic resource] /
Lindley, Dennis V.

Understanding uncertainty[electronic resource] /Dennis V. Lindley. - 1st ed. - Hoboken, N.J. :Wiley,2014. - 1 online resource.

"We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."--Dennis Lindley Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. Completely reformatted and visually easy to read, this revised edition includes new material on the computational influence and breakthroughs of hierarchical Bayesian methods and inference; betting (Efron's dice); and the current recession; as well as additional illustrations, updated references, and simplified writing for clarity, ease of continuity and research.

ISBN: 9781118650233 (electronic bk.)

Publisher. No.: EB00067065Recorded BooksSubjects--Topical Terms:

172349
Mathematics.

LC Class. No.: QA273

Dewey Class. No.: 519.2

Understanding uncertainty[electronic resource] /
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020 $a 9781118650233 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 1118650239 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 9781118650158 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 1118650158 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 9781118650110 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 1118650115 (electronic bk.)
020 $z 9781118650127
020 $z 1118650123
028 0 1 $a EB00067065 $b Recorded Books
035 $a (OCoLC)865012953
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040 $a RECBK $b eng $c RECBK $d OCLCO $d OCLCQ $d OCLCO $d DG1 $d OCLCQ
050 4 $a QA273
082 0 4 $a 519.2 $2 22
100 1 $a Lindley, Dennis V. $3 623721
245 1 0 $a Understanding uncertainty $h [electronic resource] / $c Dennis V. Lindley.
250 $a 1st ed.
260 $a Hoboken, N.J. : $b Wiley, $c 2014.
300 $a 1 online resource.
520 $a "We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."--Dennis Lindley Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. Completely reformatted and visually easy to read, this revised edition includes new material on the computational influence and breakthroughs of hierarchical Bayesian methods and inference; betting (Efron's dice); and the current recession; as well as additional illustrations, updated references, and simplified writing for clarity, ease of continuity and research.
588 $a Description based on print version record.
650 0 $a Mathematics. $3 172349
856 4 0 $u http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118650158

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