大葉大學圖書館 |

The tyranny of uncertainty[electronic resource] :a new framework to predict, remediate and monitor risk /

紀錄類型:	書目-語言資料,印刷品 : Monograph/item
杜威分類號:	658.155
書名/作者:	The tyranny of uncertainty : a new framework to predict, remediate and monitor risk // by Nabil Abuel Ata, Rudolf Schmandt.
作者:	Abu el Ata, Nabil.
其他作者:	Schmandt, Rudolf.
出版者:	Berlin, Heidelberg : : Springer Berlin Heidelberg :, 2016.
面頁冊數:	xxiv, 373 p. : : ill., digital ;; 24 cm.
Contained By:	Springer eBooks
標題:	Risk management.
標題:	Business.
標題:	Business and Management.
標題:	Business Strategy/Leadership.
標題:	Simulation and Modeling.
標題:	Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods.
標題:	Business Mathematics.
標題:	Economic Systems.
標題:	Energy Security.
ISBN:	9783662491041
ISBN:	9783662491034
內容註:	Framing the Risk Challenge -- Understanding the Hidden Risk of Dynamic Complexity -- Understanding the Nature of Risk -- Human Interaction and Perception of Risk -- Risk Evolves as Experience Evolves -- Why the Risk Comes as a Surprise -- Systemic and Systematic Risk -- How Risk is Currently Mitigated vs. How it Should be Mitigated -- Consequentialism is Necessary -- Uncertainty is the Enemy of Risk Management -- Modern Risk Management -- Evolution and Risk: The Bridge and the Missing Link -- Scientific Deterministic Risk Management -- The Role of Dynamic Complexity in Risk Propagation -- New Universal Risk Management Methodology (X-Act OBC Platform) -- Risk Discovery: Using Patterns to Spot the Unspottable -- Predictive Modeling -- Causal Deconstruction -- The Need for Hierarchic Predictive Emulation -- A Mathematical Treatise of Dynamic Complexity -- Emulative Deconstruction for Mathematical Prediction -- Singularity and Chaos Theory -- The Mathematical Solution -- Universal Risk Management Cases -- The Big Dig: Business Evolution and IT Dephasing Creates Dynamic Complexity -- From Corporate Survival to Revival -- An Industry Reinvented by Design: Postal Services -- Expanding Under Control and the Transformative Evolution -- Healthcare System Efficiency: Avoiding a Major Misdiagnosis -- The 2007 Financial Meltdown: Was it Avoidable? -- Greece in Crisis: The Haze, Mirage and Survival -- Dealing with the Growing Epidemic of Chronic Crisis -- Risk Management: A Future Perspective -- Disruption: The Way to Fight Chronic Risk -- Epilog.
摘要、提要註:	The authors offer a revolutionary solution to risk management. It's the unknown risks that keep leaders awake at night--wondering how to prepare for and steer their organization clear from that which they cannot predict. Businesses, governments and regulatory bodies dedicate endless amounts of time and resources to the task of risk management, but every leader knows that the biggest threats will come from some new chain of events or unexpected surprises--none of which will be predicted using conventional wisdom or current risk management technologies and so management will be caught completely off guard when the next crisis hits. By adopting a scientific approach to risk management, we can escape the limited and historical view of experience and statistical based risk management models to expose dynamic complexity risks and prepare for new and never experienced events.
電子資源:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-49104-1

The tyranny of uncertainty[electronic resource] :a new framework to predict, remediate and monitor risk /
Abu el Ata, Nabil.

The tyranny of uncertaintya new framework to predict, remediate and monitor risk /[electronic resource] :by Nabil Abuel Ata, Rudolf Schmandt. - Berlin, Heidelberg :Springer Berlin Heidelberg :2016. - xxiv, 373 p. :ill., digital ;24 cm.

Framing the Risk Challenge -- Understanding the Hidden Risk of Dynamic Complexity -- Understanding the Nature of Risk -- Human Interaction and Perception of Risk -- Risk Evolves as Experience Evolves -- Why the Risk Comes as a Surprise -- Systemic and Systematic Risk -- How Risk is Currently Mitigated vs. How it Should be Mitigated -- Consequentialism is Necessary -- Uncertainty is the Enemy of Risk Management -- Modern Risk Management -- Evolution and Risk: The Bridge and the Missing Link -- Scientific Deterministic Risk Management -- The Role of Dynamic Complexity in Risk Propagation -- New Universal Risk Management Methodology (X-Act OBC Platform) -- Risk Discovery: Using Patterns to Spot the Unspottable -- Predictive Modeling -- Causal Deconstruction -- The Need for Hierarchic Predictive Emulation -- A Mathematical Treatise of Dynamic Complexity -- Emulative Deconstruction for Mathematical Prediction -- Singularity and Chaos Theory -- The Mathematical Solution -- Universal Risk Management Cases -- The Big Dig: Business Evolution and IT Dephasing Creates Dynamic Complexity -- From Corporate Survival to Revival -- An Industry Reinvented by Design: Postal Services -- Expanding Under Control and the Transformative Evolution -- Healthcare System Efficiency: Avoiding a Major Misdiagnosis -- The 2007 Financial Meltdown: Was it Avoidable? -- Greece in Crisis: The Haze, Mirage and Survival -- Dealing with the Growing Epidemic of Chronic Crisis -- Risk Management: A Future Perspective -- Disruption: The Way to Fight Chronic Risk -- Epilog.

The authors offer a revolutionary solution to risk management. It's the unknown risks that keep leaders awake at night--wondering how to prepare for and steer their organization clear from that which they cannot predict. Businesses, governments and regulatory bodies dedicate endless amounts of time and resources to the task of risk management, but every leader knows that the biggest threats will come from some new chain of events or unexpected surprises--none of which will be predicted using conventional wisdom or current risk management technologies and so management will be caught completely off guard when the next crisis hits. By adopting a scientific approach to risk management, we can escape the limited and historical view of experience and statistical based risk management models to expose dynamic complexity risks and prepare for new and never experienced events.

ISBN: 9783662491041

Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-662-49104-1doiSubjects--Topical Terms:

226935
Risk management.

LC Class. No.: HD61 / .A28 2016

Dewey Class. No.: 658.155

The tyranny of uncertainty[electronic resource] :a new framework to predict, remediate and monitor risk /
LDR:03441nam a2200313 a 4500 001 450393
003 DE-He213
005 20161020111852.0
006 m d
007 cr nn 008maaau
008 161210s2016 gw s 0 eng d
020 $a 9783662491041 $q (electronic bk.)
020 $a 9783662491034 $q (paper)
024 7 $a 10.1007/978-3-662-49104-1 $2 doi
035 $a 978-3-662-49104-1
040 $a GP $c GP
041 0 $a eng
050 4 $a HD61 $b .A28 2016
072 7 $a KJC $2 bicssc
072 7 $a BUS041000 $2 bisacsh
082 0 4 $a 658.155 $2 23
090 $a HD61 $b .A165 2016
100 1 $a Abu el Ata, Nabil. $3 589764
245 1 4 $a The tyranny of uncertainty $h [electronic resource] : $b a new framework to predict, remediate and monitor risk / $c by Nabil Abuel Ata, Rudolf Schmandt.
260 $a Berlin, Heidelberg : $b Springer Berlin Heidelberg : $b Imprint: Springer, $c 2016.
300 $a xxiv, 373 p. : $b ill., digital ; $c 24 cm.
505 0 $a Framing the Risk Challenge -- Understanding the Hidden Risk of Dynamic Complexity -- Understanding the Nature of Risk -- Human Interaction and Perception of Risk -- Risk Evolves as Experience Evolves -- Why the Risk Comes as a Surprise -- Systemic and Systematic Risk -- How Risk is Currently Mitigated vs. How it Should be Mitigated -- Consequentialism is Necessary -- Uncertainty is the Enemy of Risk Management -- Modern Risk Management -- Evolution and Risk: The Bridge and the Missing Link -- Scientific Deterministic Risk Management -- The Role of Dynamic Complexity in Risk Propagation -- New Universal Risk Management Methodology (X-Act OBC Platform) -- Risk Discovery: Using Patterns to Spot the Unspottable -- Predictive Modeling -- Causal Deconstruction -- The Need for Hierarchic Predictive Emulation -- A Mathematical Treatise of Dynamic Complexity -- Emulative Deconstruction for Mathematical Prediction -- Singularity and Chaos Theory -- The Mathematical Solution -- Universal Risk Management Cases -- The Big Dig: Business Evolution and IT Dephasing Creates Dynamic Complexity -- From Corporate Survival to Revival -- An Industry Reinvented by Design: Postal Services -- Expanding Under Control and the Transformative Evolution -- Healthcare System Efficiency: Avoiding a Major Misdiagnosis -- The 2007 Financial Meltdown: Was it Avoidable? -- Greece in Crisis: The Haze, Mirage and Survival -- Dealing with the Growing Epidemic of Chronic Crisis -- Risk Management: A Future Perspective -- Disruption: The Way to Fight Chronic Risk -- Epilog.
520 $a The authors offer a revolutionary solution to risk management. It's the unknown risks that keep leaders awake at night--wondering how to prepare for and steer their organization clear from that which they cannot predict. Businesses, governments and regulatory bodies dedicate endless amounts of time and resources to the task of risk management, but every leader knows that the biggest threats will come from some new chain of events or unexpected surprises--none of which will be predicted using conventional wisdom or current risk management technologies and so management will be caught completely off guard when the next crisis hits. By adopting a scientific approach to risk management, we can escape the limited and historical view of experience and statistical based risk management models to expose dynamic complexity risks and prepare for new and never experienced events.
650 0 $a Risk management. $3 226935
650 0 $a Business. $3 172074
650 1 4 $a Business and Management. $2 eflch $3 522634
650 2 4 $a Business Strategy/Leadership. $3 463468
650 2 4 $a Simulation and Modeling. $3 463796
650 2 4 $a Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods. $3 634752
650 2 4 $a Business Mathematics. $3 589767
650 2 4 $a Economic Systems. $3 466750
650 2 4 $a Energy Security. $3 646485
700 1 $a Schmandt, Rudolf. $3 646484
710 2 $a SpringerLink (Online service) $3 463450
773 0 $t Springer eBooks
856 4 0 $u http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-49104-1
950 $a Business and Management (Springer-41169)